Wednesday, October 15, 2008

The Bradley Effect

the Bradley effect refers to an alleged tendency on the part of some voters to tell pollsters that they are undecided or likely to vote for a black candidate, and yet, on election day, vote for his/her white opponent.


Pete said...

Yeah, polls, like weather reports, can be dead wrong. "Lies, damned lies, and statistics."

I think xenophobia is working against Obama in middle America more than feelings of white supremacy. Middle Americans don't feel superior to him, they are uneasy with anything from outside their monoculture.

McCain's story is the story of Faust. Who Lucifer is depends on the decade, be it Charles Keating or George W. Bush.

I think Obama is about as progressive as a mainstream American candidate can get, and still be electable.

When we look back, though, this election is going to be greatly overshadowed by the Crash.

Pete said...

Congratulations on being somewhat prescient, Bob. This unknown factor is the thing that is really making both campaigns, the pollsters and the press squirm in these final days.

Bob said...

i voted for Obama

Pete said...

Right on.